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Updated: Tue, 12 Nov 2013 17:30:23 GMT | By CBC News, cbc.ca

Jim Flaherty projects $3.7B surplus in 2015-16

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will deliver the fall economic and fiscal update in Edmonton on Tuesday. Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty will deliver the fall economic and fiscal update in Edmonton on Tuesday. Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press

The federal government is not only on track to balance the budget by 2014-15, it will also end seven years of deficits to emerge with a surplus by the time Canadians head to the polls in 2015, said Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, who was in Edmonton delivering the fall economic and fiscal update.

The government is projecting a deficit of $5.5 billion for 2014-15, with a projected surplus of $3.7 billion in 2015-16; that compares with a deficit of $6.6 billion for 2014-15 and a budgetary surplus of $800 million in 2015-16, which Flaherty projected in the March budget.

"We promised we would bring the budget back into balance, and that we would do it without raising taxes or reducing funding for health care or other important social programs," Flaherty said in a video presentation to a crowd gathered at the Edmonton Chamber of Commerce on Tuesday.

The projected savings come from recent measures announced by the federal government such as freezing the employment insurance premium rate and reintroducing an operating freeze on departmental spending, which the government announced in the throne speech.

The freeze will apply for two years beginning in March 2014. The operating budget freeze is expected to generate savings of approximately $500 million in 2014-15 and $1.1 billion in 2015-16.

The federal government also updated its fiscal framework to account for revenues resulting from the sale of government assets.

The government divested its interests in 30 million common shares in General Motors. In addition, the government is expected to sell its assets in Ridley Terminals, a bulk coal terminal in B.C.

It is also considering selling the Dominion Coal Blocks, two parcels of Crown land in B.C. The potential gain from the sale of these assets is projected at $500 million in 2014-15 and $1.5 billion in 2015-16. The government deems these amounts to be "conservative" estimates.

Flaherty to run in 2015

Flaherty's economic update sets the stage for the Conservatives to deliver on promises they made during the last federal campaign, such as income splitting for couples with children under 18, an adult fitness tax credit, doubling the current children's fitness tax credit, and doubling the amount Canadians can save in their tax-free savings accounts.

The federal finance minister was asked if he planned to run again in the next federal election.

"Yes. Nothing has changed. I have work to do. I gotta balance the budget, I said I would," Flaherty told reporters following his presentation to the Edmonton Chamber of Commerce.

Flaherty had revealed in January he was being treated for a skin condition.

NDP finance critic Peggy Nash called the economic update "an exercise in politics and public relations" rather than economic policy.

The government is now projecting a deficit of $17.9 billion in 2013-14, down from the $18.9 billion deficit recorded earlier.

This projection takes into account $2.9 billion for disaster relief announced after the flooding in Alberta, in addition to the $60 million already committed following the train derailment in Lac-Mégantic, Que.

Flaherty said his preference is to use the surplus to pay down public debt.

The finance minister was in Edmonton with James Rajotte, Conservative MP for Edmonton-Leduc and chair of the House of Commons finance committee.

Rajotte thanked the chamber of commerce for hosting the event and proceeded to introduce a video of the finance minister delivering the fall economic update.

The finance minister answered pre-scripted questions put to him by Rajotte.

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